Publication

By:
Dr. Cameron Carlson,
Dr. Troy Bouffard,
Dr. Ryan Burke
Outlet:
Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs Date:
July / August, 2024
Link
Dr. Cameron Carlson,
Dr. Troy Bouffard,
Dr. Ryan Burke
Outlet:
Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs Date:
July / August, 2024
Link
The article, which sets the stage for the present thematic issue of the journal, examines
the evolving use of the terms pacing threat and pacing challenge in the context of
US defense strategy, particularly in relation to China. It traces the origins of these
phrases, noting that they have been used interchangeably and without a clear, codified
definition. The authors provide working definitions for these terms, suggesting that
a pacing challenge refers to an adversary that poses a long-term risk to US influence
and power, while a pacing threat denotes a more immediate and consequential military
threat. The article also discusses the concept of an acute threat, which is applied
to more urgent and severe threats, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The article
argues that clearly defining these terms is crucial for informing defense planning
and policy. It concludes by highlighting the need for the United States to address
China’s growing military, political, and economic capabilities, which constitute a
significant pacing challenge, while also being prepared to counter any acute threats
that may arise.

