Research and Scholarly Interests
Oil and Energy Economics
Natural Gas Pipeline Project costs
Hubbert Curve Analysis
Analysis by Dr. Douglas B. Reynolds
Alaska and Interior Energy Study - January, 2015
1994 Ph.D. Energy, Environmental and Resource Economics, University of New Mexico
1984 BA Mechanical Engineering, Colorado State University
Reynolds, D. (2016). Farm Labor Monopsony: Farm Business And The Child Hierarchical Model Of Fertility. Journal of Business and Economics Research, 14 (1), 19-32.
Reynolds, D. (2014). World Oil Production Trend: Comparing Hubbert Multi-cycle Curves Ecological Economics. Ecological Economics, 98, 62-71.
Reynolds, D. (in press, 2014). The Fall of the Soviet Union: Peak Oil and a Mineral Dependent Economy. Journal of Energy and Development.
Reynolds, D. (2013). Uncertainty in Exhaustible Natural Resource Economics: The Irreversible Sunk Costs of Hotelling. Resources Policy, 38, 532-541.
Rui, Z., Metz, P., Wang, X., Chen, G., Zhou, T., Reynolds, D. (2013). Inaccuracy in Pipeline-Compressor-Station Construction-Cost Estimation. Oil and Gas Facilities, 71-79.
Reynolds, D. & Baek, J. (2012). Much Ado about Hotelling: Beware the Ides of Hubbert. Energy Economics, 34 (1), 162-170.
Reynolds, D., Collins, J. M., & Han, X. (2012). Micro-District Coal Heating Case Study. International Research Journal of Applied Finance., doi: ISSN 2229 - 6891.
Rui, Z., Metz, P. A., Reynolds, D. B., Chen, G., & Zhou, X. (2011). Historical Pipeline Construction Cost Analysis. International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology, 4 (3), 244-263.
Rui, Z., Reynolds, D., Chen, G., & Zhou, X. (2011). Regression models estimate pipeline construction costs. Oil & Gas Journal, 109 (14), 120-127.
Ibironke, A., Patil, S., Chukwu, G., Reynolds, D., Dandekar, A., S. Khataniar (2011). A Probabilistic Economic Analysis of the Transportation of GTL Blends Through TAPS. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning and Policy (6), 12-19.
Reynolds, D. & Pippenger, M. (2010). OPEC and Venezuelan Oil Production: Evidence Against a Cartel Hypothesis. Energy Policy, 38, 6045-6055.
Reynolds, D. B., Joseph, J., & Sherwood, R. (2009). Risky Shift Versus Cautious Shift: Determining Differences In Risk Taking Between Private And Public Management Decision-Making. Journal of Business and Economics Research, 7 (1), 63-77.
Reynolds, D. (2009). Contracts and The Great Stagflation. Oil, Gas & Energy Law Intelligence, 4.
Howe, S., Patil, S., Dandekar, A., Nanchary, N., Ogbe, D., R. Hunter, G. Chukwu, and Doug Reynolds (2009). Production Modeling of a Potential Methane Hydrate Accumulation on the North Slope of Alaska. Petroleum Science and Technology, 27, 923-932.
Reynolds, D. & Kolodziej, M. (2009). North American Natural Gas Supply: The Hubbert Method Including the Effects of Institutions. Energies, 2 (2), 269-306.
Reynolds, D. B. & Kolodziej, M. (2008). Former Soviet Union Oil Production and GDP Decline: Granger Causality and the Multi-Cycle Hubbert Curve. Energy Economics, 30 (2), 271-289.
Ejiofor, N., Patil, S., Chukwu, G., Reynolds, D., Khataniar, S., A. Dandekar (2008). Economic Appraisal of Transporting Gas-to-Liquids Products through the Trans-Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS). Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning and Policy, 3, 196-202.
Reynolds, D. & Zhao, Y. (2007). The Hubbert Curve and Institutional Changes: How Regulations in Alaska Created a U.S. Multi-Cycle Hubbert Curve. Journal of Energy and Development, XXXII (2), 159-186.
Reynolds, D. B. & Kolodziej, M. (2006). Institutions and the Supply of Oil: A Case Study of Russia. Energy Policy, 35, 939-949.
Reynolds, D. (2005). The Economics of Oil Definitions: The Case of Canada's Oil Sands. Opec Review, 29, 51-73.
Reynolds, D. B. (2002). Using Non-Time Series to Determine Supply Elasticity: How far do prices change the Hubbert Curve. Opec Review.
Reynolds, D. (2001). Oil Exploration Game with Incomplete Information: An Experimental Study. Energy Sources.
Reynolds, D. (2000). The Case for Conserving Oil Resources: The Fundamentals of Supply and Demand. Opec Review, 24 (2), 71-86.
Reynolds, D. (2000). Soviet Economic Decline: Did an oil Crisis Cause the Transition in the Soviet Union. Journal of Energy and Development, 24 (1), 65-82.
Reynolds, D. (2000). Energy Utilization Chain: Determining Viable Oil Alternative Technology. Energy Sources, 22 (3), 215-226.
Reynolds, D. (1999). The Mineral Economy: How Prices and Costs Can Falsely Signal Decreasing Scarcity. Ecological Economics, 31 (1), 155-166.
Reynolds, D. (1999). Modeling OPEC Behavior: Theories of Risk Aversion for Oil Producer Decisions. Energy Policy, 27, 901-912.
Reynolds, D. (1999). Entropy and Diminishing Elasticity of Substitution. Resources Policy, 25 (1), 51-58.
Reynolds, D. (1998). Entropy Subsidies. Energy Policy, 26 (2), 113-118.
Reynolds, D. (1998). Oil Exploration in Transitional Economies: The Present Status of Kazakhstan's Onshore Proven Oil Reserves. Opec Review, 21 (1), 31-40.
Reynolds, D. (1994). Energy Grades and Economic Growth. Journal of Energy and Development.
Books and Chapters
Reynolds, Douglas B., (2011) Energy Civilization: The Zenith of Man, Alaska Chena Publishers.
Reynolds, Douglas B., (2002) Scarcity and Growth Considering Oil and Energy: An Alternative Neo-Classical View, The Edwin Mellen Press.
Reynolds, Douglas B., (2009) Chapter 1, OIL SUPPLY DYNAMICS: HUBBERT, RISK AND INSTITUTIONS In: OPEC, Oil Prices and LNG, Editor: Edward R. Pitt and Christopher N. Leung, ISBN:978-1-60692-897-4, ©2009 Nova Science Publishers,Inc.
Reynolds, Douglas B., (2003) Alaska and North Slope Natural Gas: Development Issues and U.S. and Canadian Implications, Alaska Chena Publishers .
Other Professional Papers
Reynolds, Douglas B. (1999b). “Oil Scarcity Should Be a Concern,” USAE Dialogue, Volume 7, number 1, pp. 12-13.
Reynolds, Douglas B. (2011). “Peak oil and the Fall of the Soviet Union: Lessons on the 20th Anniversary of the Collapse.” The oil drum, May 27, 2011, www.theoildrum.com/node/7878 .
Reynolds, Douglas B. (2010). “Why Peak Oil is Past: Integrating Oil Supply models to show 2004 as the Hubbert Peak,” Energy Politics, Winter 2010, http://www.energypolitics.org/issues/winter-2010 .
Reynolds, Douglas B. (2011). “Peak oil and the Great Stagflation: Lessons from the Fall of the Soviet Union,” Energy Politics, Fall 2011, http://www.energypolitics.org/issues/fall-2011 .
Reynolds, Douglas B. (2011) “What Is OPEC? It Is Saudi Arabia,” in “OPEC at 50: Its Past, Present and Future in a Carbon-constrained World,” March, 2011, conference proceedings, National Energy Policy Institute.
Reynolds, Douglas B. (2009). “Stocks, Inflation and the Hubbert Curve,” USAE Dialogue, Volume 17, number 3, pp. 12-13.
Reynolds, Douglas B. , (2001) “World Hubbert Curve Oil Supply Forecast and The Reserve/Production Ratio Assumption,” 2001: An Energy Odyssey?, Conference Proceedings of the 24th Annual International Conference of the International Association of Energy Economics (IAEE), April 25-27, 2001, Houston Texas.
Reynolds, Douglas B. (1998) “Forecasting Oil Prices: A Forecasting Model Based on the Work of M. King Hubbert,” Experimenting with Freer Markets: Lessons from the Last 20 Years and Prospects for the Future, Conference Proceedings of the 21st Annual International Conference of the International Association of Energy Economics (IAEE), May 13-16, 1998, Quebec Canada, pp. 541 - 550.
Reynolds, Douglas B. (1997) “Oil Production in Transitional Economies: Can Kazakstan Sustain Oil Output,” Energy and Economic Growth: Is Sustainable Growth Possible?, Conference Proceedings of the 20th Annual International Conference of the International Association of Energy Economics (IAEE), January 22 –24, 1997, New Delhi, India, pp. 149-156.
Reynolds, Douglas B. (1994) “Oil Supply Dynamics: Russian Oil Production and Market Reforms, A Comparison of the U.S. and Russian Oil Markets,” The World Oil and Gas Industries In the 21st Century, Conference Proceedings of the 16th Annual North American Conference of the International Association of Energy Economics (IAEE), November 6-9, 1994, Dallas, Texas, U.S.A., pp. 106-115.
Reynolds, Douglas B., Robert R. Logan, H. Charles Sparks and Michael Backus, (2002). The Alaskan Natural Gas Transmission System: An Economic Analysis of Various Pipeline Proposals, Report presented to the Alaska State Legislature’s Joint Committee on Natural Gas. Northern Economic Research Associates, August 19, 2002.
Rogers, Brian, Douglas B. Reynolds, Jana Peirce, Charles Ermer and Nadine Hargesheimer, (2006) Economic, Fiscal and Workforce Impacts of Alaska Natural Gas Projects, FINAL REPORT; Prepared for Alaska Department of Revenue, Juneau, Alaska; Prepared by, INFORMATION INSIGHTS, INC. Fairbanks, Alaska September 5, 2006.
Zhenhua Rui; Paul A Metz; Douglas B Reynolds; Gang Chen; Xiyu Zhou, (2011). “Regression models estimate pipeline construction costs,” Oil & Gas Journal; Jul 4, 2011; 109, 14; ABI/INFORM Global, pg. 120
Professor of Oil and Energy Economics, Alaska
Energy Consultant, Alaska
Assistant Professor Economics, Kazakstan
Mechanical Engineer, New Mexico